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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

BURTON ALBION vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Burton Albion's and Hereford's ELO scores.


  Burton Albion   Hereford  
  Current ELO Score: 3532.8   3083.4  
  Best ELO Score: 3771.4  
Saturday, April 29, 2017  
3777.9  
Saturday, September 4, 1976  
  Worst ELO Score: 3286.7  
Saturday, December 18, 2004  
2756.8  
Friday, December 26, 2014  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Burton Albion and Hereford.

 Venue Played Burton Albion
wins
Draws Hereford
wins
Burton Albion
goals
Hereford
goals
Burton Albion
SR%
Hereford
SR%
 TOTAL 15 9 2 4 26 18 66.7% 33.3%
 HOME 8 6 0 2 17 6 75.0% 25.0%
 AWAY 7 3 2 2 9 12 57.1% 42.9%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
10 NOV 2013 CUP Burton Albion  
(3562)  
2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3338)
2.7
2 JAN 2012 LGE Burton Albion  
(3514)  
0 - 2   Hereford United
  (3415)
20.9
19 NOV 2011 LGE Hereford United  
(3444)  
2 - 3   Burton Albion
  (3500)
9.7
19 FEB 2011 LGE Hereford United  
(3481)  
0 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3491)
1
4 SEP 2010 LGE Burton Albion  
(3480)  
3 - 0   Hereford United
  (3461)
14.3
20 FEB 2010 LGE Hereford United  
(3481)  
3 - 4   Burton Albion
  (3476)
11.4
21 NOV 2009 LGE Burton Albion  
(3472)  
3 - 2   Hereford United
  (3498)
9.5
18 MAR 2006 CONF Burton Albion  
(3421)  
0 - 1   Hereford United
  (3548)
8
15 OCT 2005 CONF Hereford United  
(3497)  
2 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3331)
6.5
8 JAN 2005 CONF Burton Albion  
(3320)  
3 - 0   Hereford United
  (3522)
24.3
2 OCT 2004 CONF Hereford United  
(3594)  
0 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3332)
7.3
7 FEB 2004 CONF Hereford United  
(3503)  
1 - 2   Burton Albion
  (3385)
14.7
19 SEP 2003 CONF Burton Albion  
(3361)  
4 - 1   Hereford United
  (3512)
22
5 APR 2003 CONF Hereford United  
(3429)  
4 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3368)
12.3
11 OCT 2002 CONF Burton Albion  
(3370)  
2 - 0   Hereford United
  (3448)
15.6